Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Gayfield Park

Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Arbroath 1 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
J. Bonnar

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.30pm
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Andy Tod

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Arbroath has a probability of 35.23% and a draw has a probability of 29.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Arbroath win is 1-0 (10.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result

Arbroath 35.23% (-0.07)
Draw 29.01% (+0.20)
Dunfermline Athletic 35.75% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.24% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.29% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 31.71% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 42.95% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 57.05% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 21.61% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 78.39% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 11.24% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.76% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 26.27% (-0.33)
Draw 45.77%
Dunfermline Athletic 27.96% (+0.33)

Team To Score First

Arbroath 44.38% (-0.31)
No Goal 10.76% (+0.28)
Dunfermline Athletic 44.86% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.67% (+2.31)
Equal 8 12.71% (+0.22)
Under 8 35.62% (-2.52)
Over 9 39.31% (+1.86)
Equal 9 12.36% (+0.44)
Under 9 48.33% (-2.31)
Over 10.5 28.36% (+1.33)
Under 10.5 71.64% (-1.32)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 31.84% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.16% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.2% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 88.8% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 3.13% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.87% (-0.04)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 66.58% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 33.42% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 32.59% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 67.41% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 12.14% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 87.86% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.83% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.17% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Arbroath 35.22%
Draw 29.02%
Dunfermline Athletic 35.75%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.59% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.08% (-0.01)
Total : 35.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 10.76% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.05% (+0.04)
Total : 29.02%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.22)
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 6.25% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.83% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.78% (+0.01)
Total : 35.75%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Aaron Muirhead 65' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 85' yellowcard
  • Victor Enem 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 88'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Amade 90'
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 5, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT East End Park
  • Chris Kane 8' goal
  • Josh Cooper 81' yellowcard
  • John Tod 81' yellowcard
  • Tashan Oakley-Boothe 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Robinson 72'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT East End Park
  • Jack Quinn 83' yellowcard
  • Jay Haughey 89' yellowcard
  • N. Abdulai 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 46'
  • yellowcard Ryan Dow 58'
  • yellowcard Findlay Marshall 58'
  • yellowcard Gavin Reilly 73'
  • yellowcard David Gold 73'
Scottish Championship
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Gayfield Park
  • Ryan Dow 2' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 49' goal
  • Tom Beadling 53' yellowcard
  • Robbie Fraser 68' goal
  • Aidan Nesbitt 71' yellowcard
  • Scott Stewart 87' yellowcard
  • Findlay Marshall 89' goal
  • goal 14'
  • goal Andy Tod 14'
  • yellowcard Deniz Mehmet 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Kane 63'
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 63'
  • yellowcard Josh Cooper 73'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Amade 73'
  • goal Josh Cooper 82'
Scottish Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Barney Stewart 61' goal
  • Ewan Otoo 65' yellowcard
  • John Tod 81' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Caceres 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Brooklyn Kabongolo 75'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Findlay Marshall 90'+2'
  • goal Brooklyn Kabongolo 90'+5'
Scottish Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT