Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Michael McKenna 54' goal
  • yellowcard Alfonso Amade 53'
  • goal Josh Cooper 67'
  • yellowcard Olamilekan Adams 80'

Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Arbroath 1 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
J. Bonnar

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.30pm
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Josh Cooper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Arbroath has a probability of 35.19% and a draw has a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Arbroath win is 1-0 (10.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result

Arbroath 35.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 29% ▼ (-0.02)
Dunfermline Athletic 35.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.3% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 31.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 43.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 56.94% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 21.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 78.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 11.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 88.69% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 26.35% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 45.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Dunfermline Athletic 27.94% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Arbroath 44.44% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 10.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Dunfermline Athletic 44.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 35.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 39.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.36%
Under 9 48.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 28.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 71.6% ▼ (-0.05)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 31.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.85% ▼ (-0.03)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 66.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 32.7% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 67.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 12.22% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.12% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Arbroath 35.19%
Draw 29.01%
Dunfermline Athletic 35.82%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.01%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 10.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.25%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 35.82%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Aaron Muirhead 65' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 85' yellowcard
  • Victor Enem 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 88'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Amade 90'
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 5, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT East End Park
  • Chris Kane 8' goal
  • Josh Cooper 81' yellowcard
  • John Tod 81' yellowcard
  • Tashan Oakley-Boothe 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Robinson 72'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT East End Park
  • Jack Quinn 83' yellowcard
  • Jay Haughey 89' yellowcard
  • N. Abdulai 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 46'
  • yellowcard Ryan Dow 58'
  • yellowcard Findlay Marshall 58'
  • yellowcard Gavin Reilly 73'
  • yellowcard David Gold 73'
Scottish Championship
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Gayfield Park
  • Ryan Dow 2' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 49' goal
  • Tom Beadling 53' yellowcard
  • Robbie Fraser 68' goal
  • Aidan Nesbitt 71' yellowcard
  • Scott Stewart 87' yellowcard
  • Findlay Marshall 89' goal
  • goal 14'
  • goal Andy Tod 14'
  • yellowcard Deniz Mehmet 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Kane 63'
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 63'
  • yellowcard Josh Cooper 73'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Amade 73'
  • goal Josh Cooper 82'
Scottish Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Barney Stewart 61' goal
  • Ewan Otoo 65' yellowcard
  • John Tod 81' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Caceres 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Brooklyn Kabongolo 75'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Findlay Marshall 90'+2'
  • goal Brooklyn Kabongolo 90'+5'
Scottish Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT