Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Craig Watson 32' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 50' goal
  • Scott Constable 81' yellowcard
  • Scott Constable 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 1'
  • redcard Cameron MacPherson 44'

Arbroath vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
J. Bonnar

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Arbroath 31.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Livingston 40.49% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 44.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 55.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 23.72% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 76.28% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 12.92% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.08% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 25.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 43.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Livingston 31.32% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Arbroath 42.99%
No Goal 9.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Livingston 47.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 32.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 43.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 12.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 44.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 31.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 68.16% ▼ (-0.03)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 29.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 70.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 63.48% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 15.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.53% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Arbroath 31.9%
Draw 27.62%
Livingston 40.47%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.62%
Livingston
0-1 @ 10.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 40.47%