Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Gayfield Park

Arbroath vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
J. Bonnar

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Livingston win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Arbroath has a probability of 31.95% and a draw has a probability of 27.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Arbroath win is 1-0 (9.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.6%).

Result

Arbroath 31.95%
Draw 27.64%
Livingston 40.41% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.83% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.17% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 44.77%
Under 2.5 55.23%
Over 3.5 23.6%
Under 3.5 76.4%
Over 4.5 12.84%
Under 4.5 87.16%

First Half Winner

Arbroath 25.46%
Draw 43.24% (+0.02)
Livingston 31.3% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Arbroath 42.99%
No Goal 9.92%
Livingston 47.09%

Corners

Over 8 55.49%
Equal 8 12.35%
Under 8 32.16%
Over 9 43.12%
Equal 9 12.38%
Under 9 44.51%
Over 10.5 31.82%
Under 10.5 68.18%

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 29.93% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.07% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10%
Under 2.5 90%
Over 3.5 2.89%
Under 3.5 97.11%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 70.09% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.91% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.56% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.97%
Under 2.5 85.03%
Over 3.5 5.42%
Under 3.5 94.58%

Score analysis

Arbroath 31.95%
Draw 27.65%
Livingston 40.41%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.65%
Livingston
0-1 @ 10.88%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 5.41%
Total : 40.41%