Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 1-2 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.