Saudi Pro League Gameweek 33
May 16, 2026 5.05pm
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal vs NEOM SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Nassr 1 - 1 Al-Hilal
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 11, 2026 5.50pm
NEOM SC 2 - 1 Al Shabab
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Said Benrahma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw has a probability of 20.15% and a win for NEOM SC has a probability of 17.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.02%) , while for a NEOM SC win it is 1-2 (4.8%).

Result

Al-Hilal 62.24% (-1.74)
Draw 20.15% (+0.75)
NEOM SC 17.56% (+0.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.61% (+1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.91% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 15.09% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 65.19% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 34.81% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 43.25% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 56.75% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 29.07% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 70.93% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Al-Hilal 50.61% (-0.79)
Draw 31.06% (+0.36)
NEOM SC 18.33% (+0.42)

Team To Score First

Al-Hilal 63.3% (-0.77)
No Goal 3.51% (+0.06)
NEOM SC 33.19% (+0.72)

Corners

Over 8 62.41% (+0.95)
Equal 8 10.4% (-0.13)
Under 8 27.19% (-0.83)
Over 9 51.43% (+1.01)
Equal 9 10.98% (-0.06)
Under 9 37.59% (-0.95)
Over 10.5 40.74% (+0.99)
Under 10.5 59.26% (-0.99)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 1.5 64.07% (-1.10)
Under 1.5 35.93% (+1.09)
Over 2.5 37.09% (-1.21)
Under 2.5 62.91% (+1.21)
Over 3.5 18.21% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 81.79% (+0.86)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 0.5 55.65% (+1.36)
Under 0.5 44.35% (-1.36)
Over 1.5 26.08% (+1.28)
Under 1.5 73.92% (-1.29)
Over 2.5 9.2% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 90.8% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 2.5% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 97.5% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Al-Hilal 62.25%
Draw 20.15%
NEOM SC 17.57%
Al-Hilal
2-1 @ 10.41% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.25)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.28)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 18.09% (-0.88)
Total : 62.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 3.51% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.84% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.03)
Total : 20.15%
NEOM SC
1-2 @ 4.8% (+0.31)
0-1 @ 3.55% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 1.98% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.93% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.38% (+0.11)
Total : 17.57%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 18, 2026 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT King Khalid Sport City Stadium
  • Mohammed Al Burayk 42' goal
  • Mohammed Al-Burayk 42' goal
  • Luciano Rodriguez 73' yellowcard
  • Islam Hawsawi 73' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodríguez 73' yellowcard
  • Hassan Al-Ali 83' yellowcard
  • Thamer Fathi Al Khaibri 83' yellowcard
  • Thamer Al-Khaibri 83' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Abdoh Jaber 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Abdu 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Hassan Tambakti 49'
  • yellowcard Ruben Neves 66'
  • yellowcard Rúben Neves 66'
  • yellowcard Nasser Al-Dawsari 76'
  • yellowcard Moteb Al-Harbi 76'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al Hamdan 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kaio Cesar 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al-Hamdan 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kaio César 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami 90'+6'