Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.89% and a win for NEOM SC had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%) , while for a NEOM SC win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.