Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 51.02%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.