Copa Sudamericana
Jul 24, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
  • Hugo Rodallega 30' goal
  • Franco Fagúndez 84' goal

Santa Fe vs Caracas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Fe

All competitions

Caracas

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.15% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%) , while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Santa Fe 45.67% (+0.25)
Draw 28.15% (-0.09)
Caracas 26.15% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.77% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.15% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 33.85% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 40.72% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 59.28% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 20.66% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 79.34% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 11.01% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 88.99% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Santa Fe 31.08% (+0.08)
Draw 48.08% (-0.11)
Caracas 20.84% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Santa Fe 52.69% (+0.27)
No Goal 11.2% (-0.13)
Caracas 36.11% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 57.21% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.9% (-0.03)
Under 8 30.9% (-0.07)
Over 9 45.14% (+0.12)
Equal 9 12.07% (-0.02)
Under 9 42.79% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 33.94% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 66.06% (-0.13)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 1.5 38.33% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 61.67% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 15.41% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 84.59% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 5.2% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 94.8% (-0.11)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5 57.52% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 42.48% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 23.3% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 76.7% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.29% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.71% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Santa Fe 45.67%
Draw 28.14%
Caracas 26.15%
Santa Fe
1-0 @ 13.36% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.94% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 5.17% (+0.09)
Total : 45.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.2% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.89% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 28.14%
Caracas
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.15%