UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle

San Marino
1 - 1
Gibraltar

Nanni (90+2' pen.)
Valli Casadei (20'), Benvenuti (58'), Nanni (85'), Cevoli (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Walker (11' pen.)
Pozo (39'), Walker (68'), Torilla (76'), De Barr (87'), Jolley (90+1'), Annesley (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between San Marino and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Andorra 2-0 San Marino
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Gibraltar

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Marino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Marino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Gibraltar
43.75% ( 0.08)	24.89% ( -0)	31.36% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63%

46.37% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.34%

68.66%

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

0.04)

21.23% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

0.05)

54.14% (

-0.05)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

-0.04)

27.96% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41% (

-0.06)

63.59% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

San Marino 43.75%

Gibraltar 31.36%

Draw 24.89%

San Marino	Draw	Gibraltar
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.75%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.36%