World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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Ridel Stanislas
45'+2'
-
Peter Pearson
67'
-
Melvin Doxilly
90'+2'
-
Walter Bennett
21'
-
Isai Marselia
43'
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Fernando Lewis
90'+3'
Saint Lucia vs Aruba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aruba win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result
Saint Lucia
38.49%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
26.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Aruba
35.15%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
52.92%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.2%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
51.8%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 3.5
26.43%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
73.56%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
12.28%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
87.72%
▲
(+0.13)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5
73.72%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
26.27%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
38.61%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
61.39%
▲
(+0.10)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5
71.78%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
28.22%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
36.08%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
63.92%
▲
(+0.23)
Score analysis
Saint Lucia
38.49%
Draw
26.35%
Aruba
35.15%
Saint Lucia
1-0
@
9.91%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 38.49%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 38.49%
Draw
1-1
@
12.53%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.35%
Aruba
0-1
@
9.38%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.15%
1-2 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.15%