Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Regional de Nyamirambo

Rwanda
2 - 1
Benin

Nshutiyamagara (70'), Bizimana (75' pen.)
Niyigena (38')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hountondji (42')
Imourane (36'), Tijani (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 3-0 Rwanda
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Benin

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 3-0 Rwanda
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Benin had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.73%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rwanda would win this match.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	Benin
44.2% ( 0.01)	30.3% ( 0.02)	25.5% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 38.41% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.93% (

-0.07)

68.07% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.02% (

-0.05)

85.98% (

0.05)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

-0.03)

30.99% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

-0.04)

67.29% (

0.04)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.66% (

-0.07)

44.34% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.6% (

-0.06)

80.4% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Rwanda 44.2%

Benin 25.49%

Draw 30.29%

Rwanda	Draw	Benin
1-0 @ 16.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.2%	0-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.09% 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.29%	0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.49%