Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Anoeta Stadium
  • Orri Óskarsson 28' goal
  • Gonçalo Guedes 61' yellowcard
  • Ander Barrenetxea 77' yellowcard
  • Yangel Herrera 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaïl Boudache 38'
  • goal Corentin Tolisso 54'
  • yellowcard Julien Duranville 82'
  • yellowcard Dominik Greif 87'
  • yellowcard Abner 90'+1'

Real Sociedad vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Anderlecht 1 - 2 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result

Real Sociedad 49.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 24.07%
Lyon 26.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.95%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 22.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.42%
Under 2.5 45.58%
Over 3.5 32.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.76%
Over 4.5 19.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.74% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 38.54%
Draw 38.37%
Lyon 23.09%

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 57.27%
No Goal 6.31%
Lyon 36.42%

Corners

Over 8 61.05%
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 28.06%
Over 9 49.67%
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 38.95%
Over 10.5 38.74%
Under 10.5 61.26%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 48.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 76.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 62.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 37.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 29.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.33%
Under 3.5 96.67%

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 49.38%
Draw 24.08%
Lyon 26.53%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 49.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.08%
Lyon
0-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 28, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlos Vela 37' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vela 67' goal
  • Carlos Vela 90' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Umtiti 77'
Champions League
Aug 20, 2013 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Milan Bisevac 39' yellowcard
  • Miguel Lopes 44' yellowcard
  • Milan Bisevac 78' redcard
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 9'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 18'
  • goal Haris Seferovic 52'
  • yellowcard Xabi Prieto 83'