La Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2026 8.00pm
San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 1.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 4 - 0 Getafe
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Álex Berenguer

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 5.30pm
Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Levante
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Luka Sucic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 31.61% and a draw has a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-2 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Athletic Bilbao 41.26% ▼ (-0.97)
Draw 27.13% ▲ (+0.17)
Real Sociedad 31.61% ▲ (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.87% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.03% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 21.97% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 54.91% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 45.09% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 3.5 31.27% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 68.73% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 4.5 17.55% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 4.5 82.45% ▲ (+0.41)

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 35.25% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 39.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Real Sociedad 24.79% ▼ (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 51.9% ▲ (+0.22)
No Goal 6.15% ▲ (+0.16)
Real Sociedad 41.95% ▼ (-0.36)

Corners

Over 8 54.58% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 12.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 33.23% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 9 42.44% ▲ (+0.23)
Equal 9 12.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 45.42% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 31.41% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 68.59% ▼ (-0.16)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 43.5% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 1.5 56.5% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 2.5 18.87% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 81.13% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 3.5 6.84% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 93.16% ▲ (+0.38)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 68.66% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 31.34% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 35.76% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 64.24% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 2.5 14.13% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 85.87% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 4.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.58% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 41.27%
Draw 27.14%
Real Sociedad 31.6%
Athletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.37)
Total : 41.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.14%
Real Sociedad
1-2 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 31.6%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Mar 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anoeta Stadium
  • Yangel Herrera 59' yellowcard
  • Pablo Marín 59' yellowcard
  • Orri Óskarsson 83' yellowcard
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 87' yellowcard
  • Aihen Muñoz 90' yellowcard
  • Aihen Muñoz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Luka Sucic 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 56'
  • yellowcard Robert Navarro 67'
  • yellowcard Jesús Areso 67'
  • yellowcard Nico Serrano 82'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 82'
Copa del Rey
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 56' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 56' yellowcard
  • Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo 56' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 56' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 56' yellowcard
  • Selton Sánchez 56' yellowcard
  • Mikel Vesga 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benat Turrientes 62'
  • goal Beñat Turrientes 62'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 74'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 74'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 74'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 85'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Odriozola 85'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Odriozola 85'
  • yellowcard Job Ochieng 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 46' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 46' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 62' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 63' yellowcard
  • Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi 72' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Urko Izeta 72' yellowcard
  • Iñaki Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 79' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 88' goal
  • Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 88' goal
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 37'
  • goal Gonçalo Guedes 37'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Brais Mendez 63'
  • yellowcard Brais Méndez 63'
  • yellowcard Beñat Turrientes 63'
  • yellowcard Wesley Gassova 77'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 77'
  • yellowcard Wesley 77'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 77'
  • yellowcard Aihen Munoz 85'
  • yellowcard Aihen Muñoz 85'
La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Pablo Marin 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 44'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 78'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 26' goal
  • Benat Prados 41' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 76' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 21'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 53'
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 90'+5'