Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
Åråsen Stadion

Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lillestrom

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Lillestrom has a probability of 34.15% and a draw has a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Lillestrom win is 2-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.18%).

Result

Lillestrom 34.15% ▼ (-1.14)
Draw 23.55% ▼ (-0.97)
Real Sociedad 42.3% ▲ (+2.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.87% ▲ (+0.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.94% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 1.5 18.06% ▼ (-1.02)
Over 2.5 61.61% ▲ (+1.93)
Under 2.5 38.39% ▼ (-1.93)
Over 3.5 38.26% ▲ (+1.31)
Under 3.5 61.74% ▼ (-1.31)
Over 4.5 23.54% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 4.5 76.46% ▼ (-1.33)

First Half Winner

Lillestrom 32.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 36.55% ▼ (-2.77)
Real Sociedad 30.53% ▲ (+2.68)

Team To Score First

Lillestrom 47.23% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 4.8% ▼ (-0.28)
Real Sociedad 47.97% ▲ (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 65.13% ▲ (+3.85)
Equal 8 10.38% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 8 24.49% ▼ (-3.62)
Over 9 53.98% ▲ (+3.78)
Equal 9 11.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 34.87% ▼ (-3.86)
Over 10.5 42.96% ▲ (+3.42)
Under 10.5 57.04% ▼ (-3.42)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 1.5 39.98% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 1.5 60.02% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 2.5 17.86% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 82.14% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 7.23% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 92.77% ▲ (+0.19)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 75.08% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 0.5 24.92% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 1.5 46.68% ▲ (+2.51)
Under 1.5 53.32% ▼ (-2.51)
Over 2.5 22.4% ▲ (+2.02)
Under 2.5 77.6% ▼ (-2.03)
Over 3.5 8.68% ▲ (+1.19)
Under 3.5 91.32% ▼ (-1.20)

Score analysis

Lillestrom 34.14%
Draw 23.56%
Real Sociedad 42.31%
Lillestrom
2-1 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.37)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.28)
3-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.34)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 34.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% ▼ (-0.67)
2-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.28)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 23.56%
Real Sociedad
1-2 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.42)
0-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.41)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.34)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 8.27% ▲ (+1.24)
Total : 42.31%