Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
TC Strahov

Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 5.45pm
Ararat-Armenia 1 - 4 Sparta Prague

Lillestrom

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 58.48%. A win for Lillestrom has a probability of 21.04% and a draw has a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Lillestrom win is 1-2 (5.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.43%).

Result

Sparta Prague 58.48% ▲ (+5.09)
Draw 20.45% ▼ (-1.58)
Lillestrom 21.04% ▼ (-3.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.24% ▼ (-0.70)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.78% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 18.22% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 61.1% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 38.9% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 39.46% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 3.5 60.54% ▼ (-1.15)
Over 4.5 25.97% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 4.5 74.03% ▼ (-0.96)

First Half Winner

Sparta Prague 48.28% ▲ (+4.81)
Draw 33.54% ▼ (-0.93)
Lillestrom 18.18% ▼ (-3.88)

Team To Score First

Sparta Prague 63.67% ▲ (+5.86)
No Goal 4.31% ▼ (-0.54)
Lillestrom 32.02% ▼ (-5.32)

Corners

Over 8 69.54% ▼ (-1.29)
Equal 8 9.01% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 21.45% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 9 59.48% ▼ (-1.28)
Equal 9 10.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 30.46% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 10.5 49.09% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 10.5 50.91% ▲ (+1.15)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 1.5 58.26% ▲ (+3.81)
Under 1.5 41.74% ▼ (-3.81)
Over 2.5 32.96% ▲ (+2.97)
Under 2.5 67.04% ▼ (-2.96)
Over 3.5 15.65% ▲ (+2.00)
Under 3.5 84.35% ▼ (-2.00)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5 57.07% ▼ (-3.54)
Under 0.5 42.93% ▲ (+3.54)
Over 1.5 26.84% ▼ (-3.93)
Under 1.5 73.16% ▲ (+3.93)
Over 2.5 9.45% ▼ (-2.02)
Under 2.5 90.55% ▲ (+2.01)
Over 3.5 3.09% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 3.5 96.91% ▲ (+0.76)

Score analysis

Sparta Prague 58.49%
Draw 20.45%
Lillestrom 21.03%
Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.28)
1-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.58)
2-0 @ 8.44% ▲ (+1.17)
3-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.90)
3-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 15.51% ▲ (+2.05)
Total : 58.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.50)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.43)
0-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.54)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 20.45%
Lillestrom
1-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.77)
0-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.30)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.63)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.72)
Other @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.71)
Total : 21.03%