La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2026 5.30pm
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 8.00pm
Malaga 1 - 1 Espanyol
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Adrián Niño Heredia

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 3.15pm
Real Sociedad 3 - 2 Deportivo
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Luka Sucic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malaga win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 33.22% and a draw has a probability of 27.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result

Malaga 38.89%
Draw 27.86%
Real Sociedad 33.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.59%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.8%
Under 1.5 26.2%
Over 2.5 50.18%
Under 2.5 49.82%
Over 3.5 28.25%
Under 3.5 71.75%
Over 4.5 15.54%
Under 4.5 84.46%

First Half Winner

Malaga 31.87%
Draw 42.45%
Real Sociedad 25.68%

Team To Score First

Malaga 49.32%
No Goal 7.75%
Real Sociedad 42.93%

Corners

Over 8 56.01%
Equal 8 12.29%
Under 8 31.7%
Over 9 43.62%
Equal 9 12.38%
Under 9 43.99%
Over 10.5 32.26%
Under 10.5 67.74%

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 39.49%
Under 1.5 60.51%
Over 2.5 15.84%
Under 2.5 84.16%
Over 3.5 5.5%
Under 3.5 94.5%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 68.06%
Under 0.5 31.94%
Over 1.5 34.71%
Under 1.5 65.29%
Over 2.5 13.35%
Under 2.5 86.65%
Over 3.5 4.2%
Under 3.5 95.8%

Score analysis

Malaga 38.89%
Draw 27.85%
Real Sociedad 33.22%
Malaga
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 5.16%
Total : 38.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.75%
2-2 @ 6.12%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.85%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.22%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Jan 7, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Juanpe 48' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 51' yellowcard
  • goal Einar Galilea 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aihen Munoz 62'
  • yellowcard Carlos Fernandez 63'
La Liga
Apr 22, 2018 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Adrian 11' goal
  • Maxime Lestienne 26' yellowcard
  • Manuel Iturra 30' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 35' goal
  • Keko 64' yellowcard
  • Adrian 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Canales 43'
La Liga
Dec 10, 2017 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Anoeta (Donostia-San Sebastián)
  • David Zurutuza 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chory Castro 9'
  • goal Borja Baston 23'
  • goal Chory Castro 58'
La Liga
May 14, 2017 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Xabi Prieto 31' goal
  • Raul Navas 53' yellowcard
  • Bautista Orgilles Jon 86' goal
  • goal Luis Hernandez 45'
  • goal Recio 76'
  • yellowcard Miguel Torres 86'
  • yellowcard Michael Santos 89'
La Liga
Jan 16, 2017 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Inigo Martinez 50'
  • yellowcard Esteban Granero 55'
  • goal Juanmi 62'
  • yellowcard Asier Illarramendi 70'
La Liga
Feb 27, 2016 9.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Inigo Martinez 19' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 60' yellowcard
  • Diego Reyes 74' yellowcard
  • Geronimo Rulli 78' yellowcard
  • Imanol Agirretxe 81' goal
  • yellowcard Recio 15'
  • goal Duje Cop 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Ricca 58'
  • yellowcard Charles 64'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 70'
  • yellowcard Weligton 80'