Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.51%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 22.33% and a draw had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (4.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.58%).