Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.36% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%) , while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.