Champions League
Feb 25, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 60' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 66' goal
  • Kang-in Lee 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Fernández 87' yellowcard
  • Warren Zaïre-Emery 88' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 88' yellowcard
  • Pedro Fernández 88' yellowcard
  • goal Maghnes Akliouche 45'
  • yellowcard J. Teze 62'
  • yellowcard Mika Biereth 74'
  • yellowcard Simon Adingra 74'
  • yellowcard Christian Mawissa 74'
  • yellowcard Mika Biereth 75'
  • goal J. Teze 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Samuel Nibombe 90'+4'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
Monaco 2 - 3 PSG

Monaco

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
Monaco 2 - 3 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.36% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%) , while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 64.74% (+0.24)
Draw 20.36% (-0.08)
Monaco 14.93% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.15% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 21.85% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 56.8% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 43.2% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 37.08% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 62.92% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 25.27% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 74.73% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 51.66%
Draw 32.28%
Monaco 16.07%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 67.49% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.37% (-0.05)
Monaco 26.14%

Corners

Over 8 60.14% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.56% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.29% (-0.09)
Over 9 49.18% (+0.05)
Equal 9 10.96% (+0.03)
Under 9 39.86% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 38.68% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 61.32% (-0.03)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 60.71% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 39.29% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 35.64% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 64.36% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 18.19% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 81.81% (-0.10)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 47.36%
Under 0.5 52.64%
Over 1.5 18.78% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 81.22% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 5.77% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 94.23% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.25% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 64.74%
Draw 20.37%
Monaco 14.94%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.56% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.88% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 6.99% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.34% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 17.94% (+0.09)
Total : 64.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.37%
Monaco
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.5% (-0.04)
Total : 14.94%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Folarin Balogun 1' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 18' goal
  • Krepin Diatta 58' yellowcard
  • Krépin Diatta 58' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Coulibaly 70' yellowcard
  • Aladji Bamba 70' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinha 22'
  • yellowcard Desire Doue 27'
  • yellowcard Désiré Doué 27'
  • goal Desire Doue 29'
  • goal Désiré Doué 29'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 41'
  • goal Desire Doue 67'
  • goal Désiré Doué 67'
  • yellowcard Lee Kang-in 69'
  • yellowcard Kang-in Lee 69'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Ramos 81'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Ramos 81'
Ligue 1
Nov 29, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lamine Camara 12' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 68' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Thilo Kehrer 80' redcard
  • Sebastien Pocognoli 87' yellowcard
  • Krepin Diatta 88' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Pocognoli 88' yellowcard
  • Jordan Teze 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinha 33'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 8.05pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Vitinha 6' goal
  • Desire Doue 28' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 54' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 57' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 90' goal
  • goal Denis Zakaria 17'
Trophee des Champions
Jan 5, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium 974
  • Nuno Mendes 23' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 87' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Vanderson 35'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wilfried Singo 13' yellowcard
  • Lamine Camara 29' yellowcard
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 53' goal
  • Breel Embolo 60' goal
  • Adi Hutter 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Desire Doue 24'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 64'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 83'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.