Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.