Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 35

May 18, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
2 - 1
Rijeka

Livaja (12' pen.), Trajkovski (78')
Uremovic (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cop (73')
Gojak (87'), Fruk (90+3'), Fruk (90+3')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions

Last Game: Gorica 1-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, May 11 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Last Game: Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka
Saturday, May 10 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 42.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 28.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
Hajduk Split	Draw	HNK Rijeka
42.4% ( 0.1)	28.86% ( -0.07)	28.74% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 43.66% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.46% (

0.22)

62.54% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.86% (

0.16)

82.13% (

-0.16)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

0.16)

29.2% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85% (

0.2)

65.15% (

-0.2)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

0.1)

38.33% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

0.1)

75.08% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Hajduk Split 42.4%

HNK Rijeka 28.73%

Draw 28.85%

Hajduk Split	Draw	HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 42.4%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.73%