Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 44.31%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.18%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.