Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
1 - 0
Sibenik

Rakitic (59')
Brajkovic (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cvek (57')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and Sibenik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Hajduk Split
Sunday, March 16 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 1-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, March 15 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawSibenik
64.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.34% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)51.14% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.081 -0.08)72.99% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)15.12% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.31% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)43.69% (0.061 0.06)
Sibenik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)47.76% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.94% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)83.06% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 64.65%
    Sibenik 13.92%
    Draw 21.42%
Hajduk SplitDrawSibenik
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.11% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 64.65%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 13.92%

Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
Sibenik
1-2
Hajduk Split
Kulusic (89')
Pernar (14'), Kavelj (39'), Agyemang (63'), Bozic (66'), Pozo (67'), Majic (90+7')
Kavelj (48'), Agyemang (90+7')
Livaja (75'), Krovinovic (90+1')
Uremovic (13'), Prpic (64')
Oct 6, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hajduk Split
4-0
Sibenik
Rakitic (2'), Durdov (17'), Kalik (62'), Livaja (88')
Diallo (45+1')

Peric (16')