Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.