Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 4.45pm UK

Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
3 - 0
Hajduk Split

Fruk (25', 88'), Jankovic (35' pen.)
Jankovic (15'), Devetak (59'), Bogojevic (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Livaja (30'), Prpic (33'), Hrgovic (33'), Uremovic (53'), Sanyang (70'), Diallo (84')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Sibenik
Friday, March 7 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Hajduk Split

All competitions

Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 Gorica
Sunday, March 9 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Hajduk Split
42.91% ( -0.19)	27.38% ( -0.02)	29.71% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89% (

0.15)

57.11% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01% (

0.12)

77.98% (

-0.12)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

-0.03)

26.35% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

-0.04)

61.49% (

0.04)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.38% (

0.24)

34.61% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66% (

0.25)

71.33% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 42.91%

Hajduk Split 29.71%

Draw 27.37%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.91%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.71%