Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.