Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.