Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Osijek win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.