Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Aldo Drosina

Istra 1961
2 - 0
Rijeka

Lawal (28'), Rozic (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gojak (22'), Jankovic (67'), Majstorovic (78'), Orec (84')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions

Last Game: Gorica 3-2 Istra 1961
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Varazdin
Sunday, April 13 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 43.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
NK Istra 1961	Draw	HNK Rijeka
26.39% ( 0.05)	29.95% ( 0.04)	43.66% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 39.75% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.27% (

-0.08)

66.73% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.92% (

-0.05)

85.08% (

0.05)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.28% (

-0)

42.72% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.94% (

-0)

79.05% (

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

-0.09)

30.59% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

-0.11)

66.83% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

NK Istra 1961 26.39%

HNK Rijeka 43.66%

Draw 29.94%

NK Istra 1961	Draw	HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.59% 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.08% Total : 26.39%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.94%	0-1 @ 15.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 43.66%