Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 13.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.99%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.