Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dinamo Zagreb in this match.