Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Sibenik win it was 1-0 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.