Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.