Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.