Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 3.30pm
Rio Ave 3 - 2 Nacional
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Abdel Kader Njoya

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2026 8.15pm
Braga 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Pau Víctor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw has a probability of 25.64% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.67%) , while for a Nacional win it is 1-0 (6.59%).

Result

Nacional 21.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.64%
Braga 52.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 49.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.89%
Under 3.5 72.11%
Over 4.5 15.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.31% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Nacional 16.58%
Draw 42.57%
Braga 40.84%

Team To Score First

Nacional 30.09%
No Goal 7.67%
Braga 62.24%

Corners

Over 8 53.35%
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 35.04%
Over 9 41.93%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 46.65%
Over 10.5 31.59%
Under 10.5 68.41%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 24.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 79.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 20.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.52%
Under 1.5 51.48%
Over 2.5 22.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.35% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Nacional 21.87%
Draw 25.62%
Braga 52.5%
Nacional
1-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.61%
3-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.62%
Braga
0-1 @ 11.87% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.37%
1-3 @ 5.24%
0-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67%
Other @ 8.47%
Total : 52.5%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Paulinho Bóia 59' goal
  • Joel Silva 74' yellowcard
  • Witiness Quembo 74' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ruan 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Lucas João 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 11'
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 46'
  • yellowcard Mario Dorgeles 66'
  • yellowcard João Moutinho 67'
  • yellowcard Mario Dorgeles 67'
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 84'
  • yellowcard Demir Ege Tıknaz 84'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 90'+6'
Primeira Liga
Sep 28, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2025 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Jean-Baptiste Gorby 37' goal
  • Uros Racic 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Dias 70'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Abidi 79'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Matheus Dias 29' yellowcard
  • Ze Vitor 75' yellowcard
  • Andre Sousa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Baptiste Gorby 25'
  • yellowcard Yuri Ribeiro 27'
  • goal Sikou Niakate 77'
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 81'
  • goal Bruma 83'
  • goal Amine El Ouazzani 85'
Taca da Liga
Dec 22, 2023 8.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Tiago Margarido 0' yellowcard
  • Jose Gomes 62' goal
  • Gustavo 70' yellowcard
  • Luis Esteves 74' yellowcard
  • Witi 77' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Moutinho 16'
  • goal Sikou Niakate 24'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 44'
  • yellowcard Sikou Niakate 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 86'
Taca de Portugal
Apr 25, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Uros Racic 33' goal
  • Rodrigo Gomes 48' goal
  • goal Clayton 72'
  • goal Dudu 90'+3'