Taca de Portugal
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Conde Dias Garcia
  • 61' yellowcard
  • Maxwell Sani 81' goal
  • 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danel Dongmo 33'
  • yellowcard 54'

Sanjoanense vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanjoanense

All competitions

Nacional

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Sanjoanense had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Sanjoanense win was 1-0 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Sanjoanense 36.63% ▼ (-1.20)
Draw 26.63% ▲ (+0.25)
Nacional 36.68% ▲ (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.75% ▲ (+1.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.08% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 25.92% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 50.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.15% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 71.85% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 4.5 16.09% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 4.5 83.91% ▼ (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Sanjoanense 26.19% ▼ (-0.42)
Draw 45.62% ▼ (-0.18)
Nacional 28.19% ▲ (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Sanjoanense 45.42% ▼ (-1.22)
No Goal 7.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Nacional 46.9% ▲ (+1.22)

Corners

Over 8 54.67% ▼ (-3.43)
Equal 8 10.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 34.55% ▲ (+3.51)
Over 9 43.95% ▼ (-3.10)
Equal 9 10.72% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 9 45.33% ▲ (+3.43)
Over 10.5 34.08% ▼ (-2.61)
Under 10.5 65.92% ▲ (+2.61)

Sanjoanense Goals

Over 1.5 36.78% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 1.5 63.22% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 2.5 14.76% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 2.5 85.24% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 5.27% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 94.73% ▲ (+0.19)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 69.21% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 0.5 30.79% ▼ (-0.81)
Over 1.5 36.31% ▲ (+1.38)
Under 1.5 63.69% ▼ (-1.38)
Over 2.5 15.52% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 2.5 84.48% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▼ (-0.30)

Score analysis

Sanjoanense 36.63%
Draw 26.63%
Nacional 36.68%
Sanjoanense
1-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.26)
2-1 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.37)
2-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.28)
3-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 36.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% ▲ (+0.27)
0-0 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 26.63%
Nacional
0-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.21)
1-2 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.30)
0-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 36.68%