Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 6.00pm
Alverca 1 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 0 - 4 Famalicao
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Matchoi Djaló

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Rio Ave has a probability of 36.47% and a draw has a probability of 26.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Rio Ave win is 1-0 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.03%).

Result

Rio Ave 36.47%
Draw 26.88%
Nacional 36.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.71%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.1%
Under 1.5 25.9%
Over 2.5 50.26%
Under 2.5 49.74%
Over 3.5 28.09%
Under 3.5 71.91%
Over 4.5 15.12%
Under 4.5 84.88%

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 29.24%
Draw 41.85%
Nacional 28.91%

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 48.02%
No Goal 7.68%
Nacional 44.3%

Corners

Over 8 64.19%
Equal 8 10.47%
Under 8 25.34%
Over 9 52.97%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 35.81%
Over 10.5 41.92%
Under 10.5 58.08%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 36.72%
Under 1.5 63.28%
Over 2.5 14.46%
Under 2.5 85.54%
Over 3.5 4.6%
Under 3.5 95.4%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 70.05%
Under 0.5 29.95%
Over 1.5 37.3%
Under 1.5 62.7%
Over 2.5 14.32%
Under 2.5 85.68%
Over 3.5 4.88%
Under 3.5 95.12%

Score analysis

Rio Ave 36.47%
Draw 26.88%
Nacional 36.64%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 36.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 26.88%
Nacional
0-1 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 36.64%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Jan 25, 2026 3.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Gabriel Veron 34' goal
  • Jesús Ramírez 46' goal
  • Chiheb Labidi 61' yellowcard
  • Léo Santos 72' goal
  • Witiness Quembo 77' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jr 77' yellowcard
  • André Sousa 88' yellowcard
  • Lucas João 88' yellowcard
  • Witiness Quembo 90' goal
  • yellowcard Georgios Liavas 46'
  • yellowcard Ole Pohlmann 46'
  • yellowcard Diogo Bezerra 67'
  • yellowcard Antonis Papakanellos 67'
  • yellowcard Omar Richards 77'
Primeira Liga
Aug 17, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Andre Sousa 46' goal
  • Lucas Franca 72' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos 90' goal
  • Konstantinos Kostoulas 90'+4' goal
  • goal Ege Tiknaz 3'
  • yellowcard Ege Tiknaz 18'
  • goal Theofanis Bakoulas 28'
  • goal Ege Tiknaz 43'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Kostoulas 57'
  • yellowcard Clayton 86'
  • yellowcard Ole Pohlmann 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Clayton 26' goal
  • Clayton 73' goal
  • goal Bruno Costa 34'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 80'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 10.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 19, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luiz Eduardo Teodora da Silva 11' goal
  • Larry Azouni 16' yellowcard
  • goal Aderlan 51'
  • yellowcard Filipe Augusto 84'
  • goal Carlos Mane 90'+4'