Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 10, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 2
Leeds

Torres (76')
Ake (35'), Silva (83'), Fernandinho (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dallas (42', 90+1')
Alioski (66')
Cooper (45+1')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on March 7, 2021

Pep Guardiola stands by team selection against Leeds United

The Premier League leaders face Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday in the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final.

Apr 11, 22:31

Ferran Torres celebrates scoring for Manchester City against Newcastle United in the Premier League on December 26, 2020

Ferran Torres: 'We will move on from Leeds United defeat'

Pep Guardiola's side return to Champions League action against Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday.

Apr 11, 09:59

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa pictured on February 27, 2021

Marcelo Bielsa insists Leeds deserved to beat Man City

Stuart Dallas struck twice to give the visitors victory.

Apr 10, 15:36

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Leeds United
72.68%	15.72%	11.6%

Both teams to score 57.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.4%

30.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.08%

51.93%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.7%

7.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.57%

26.43%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.92%

38.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.15%

74.85%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 72.68%

Leeds United 11.6%

Draw 15.72%

Manchester City	Draw	Leeds United
2-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 5.44% 4-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.87% 5-0 @ 2.85% 5-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.53% 5-2 @ 1.33% 6-0 @ 1.24% 6-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.9% Total : 72.68%	1-1 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.44% 0-0 @ 2.78% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.72%	1-2 @ 3.39% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-2 @ 1.3% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.71% Total : 11.6%