Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16

Mar 16, 2021 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 0
Borussia M'bach

De Bruyne (12'), Gundogan (18')
Cancelo (55'), Fernandinho (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lainer (61')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
65.94%	20.98%	13.07%

Both teams to score 43.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87%

51.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02%

72.97%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.29%

14.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.1%

42.9%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.93%

49.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.99%

84%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 65.93%

Borussia Monchengladbach 13.07%

Draw 20.98%

Manchester City	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 13.83% 2-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-1 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 65.93%	1-1 @ 9.85% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.98%	0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 3.51% 0-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.6% Total : 13.07%