Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2026 3.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 2.00pm
Ipswich 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest 3 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Liam Delap

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw has a probability of 25.94% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 23.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 0-1 (7.5%).

Result

Bournemouth 50.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.94%
Nottingham Forest 23.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.02%
Under 1.5 26.98%
Over 2.5 49.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.41%
Under 3.5 70.59%
Over 4.5 17.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.46% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 39.89%
Draw 40%
Nottingham Forest 20.1%

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 58.61%
No Goal 8.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Nottingham Forest 33.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.64%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 26.63%
Over 9 51.29%
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 37.36%
Over 10.5 40.26%
Under 10.5 59.74%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 47.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 76.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.24%
Under 3.5 89.76%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 57.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 24.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 50.91%
Draw 25.95%
Nottingham Forest 23.07%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.71%
Other @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 50.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.95%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 23.07%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 34' goal
  • Taiwo Awoniyi  62' yellowcard
  • Taiwo Awoniyi  63' yellowcard
  • Luca Netz 63' yellowcard
  • Ryan Yates  65' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Domínguez 65' yellowcard
  • James McAtee 78' yellowcard
  • James McAtee 79' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 54'
  • yellowcard Ben Gannon-Doak 57'
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 73'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert  73'
  • yellowcard Enes Ünal 73'
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 90'
Premier League
Oct 26, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Justin Kluivert  18' yellowcard
  • Marcus Tavernier 25' goal
  • Eli Kroupi 40' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 63' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 18'
  • yellowcard Sean Dyche 43'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Justin Kluivert 9' goal
  • Lewis Cook 15' yellowcard
  • Dango Ouattara 55' goal
  • Dango Ouattara 61' goal
  • Dango Ouattara 87' goal
  • Antoine Semenyo 90'+1' goal
  • Illia Zabarnyi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morato 59'
  • yellowcard Ramon Sosa 59'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 64'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT The City Ground
  • Chris Wood 23' goal
  • Chris Wood 23' goal
  • Neco Williams 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Milos Kerkez 48'
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 45'+12'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 86'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 89'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Justin Kluivert 5' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 23' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 35' yellowcard
  • Philip Billing 84' redcard
  • Neto 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Espirito Santo 24'
  • goal Callum Hudson-Odoi 45'
  • yellowcard Andrew Omobamidele 55'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 73'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Willy Boly 5' yellowcard
  • Willy Boly 23' redcard
  • Anthony Elanga 47' goal
  • Chris Wood 74' goal
  • yellowcard Andoni Iraola 25'
  • yellowcard Alex Scott 31'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 51'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 58'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 65'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 68'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 90'+4'