Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
TC Strahov

Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 5.45pm
Ararat-Armenia 1 - 4 Sparta Prague

Bournemouth

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 28.47% and a draw has a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Bournemouth win is 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.68%).

Result

Sparta Prague 51.27% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 20.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Bournemouth 28.47% ▲ (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.91% ▼ (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.31% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 20.69% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 59.16% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 40.84% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 37.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 62.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 25.63% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 74.37% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Sparta Prague 48.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 34.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Bournemouth 16.88%

Team To Score First

Sparta Prague 66.37% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 5.84% ▲ (+0.10)
Bournemouth 27.79% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 62.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 9.54%
Under 8 27.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 52.72% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 10.14%
Under 9 37.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 42.72% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 10.5 57.28% ▲ (+0.10)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 1.5 51.34% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 48.66% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 31.2% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 68.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 16.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 83.46% ▲ (+0.07)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 58.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 41.2% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 29.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sparta Prague 51.26%
Draw 20.26%
Bournemouth 28.46%
Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 16.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 51.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.26%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.46%