Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 5.30pm
The City Ground

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Dan Ndoye

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Coventry City has a probability of 27.82% and a draw has a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Coventry City win is 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 46.98% (+4.06)
Draw 25.16% (-0.08)
Coventry City 27.82% (-4.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.86% (-2.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.61% (-1.49)
Under 1.5 27.39% (+1.50)
Over 2.5 48.32% (-1.23)
Under 2.5 51.68% (+1.23)
Over 3.5 26.28% (-1.05)
Under 3.5 73.72% (+1.05)
Over 4.5 14.81% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 85.19% (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 32.14% (+2.84)
Draw 41.31% (-0.74)
Coventry City 26.55% (-2.09)

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 50.28% (+3.15)
No Goal 8.25% (+0.92)
Coventry City 41.47% (-4.07)

Corners

Over 8 60.03% (+8.06)
Equal 8 11.86% (-0.09)
Under 8 28.11% (-7.97)
Over 9 47.68% (+7.32)
Equal 9 12.35% (+0.74)
Under 9 39.97% (-8.06)
Over 10.5 35.99% (+6.03)
Under 10.5 64.01% (-6.02)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 43.04% (+2.33)
Under 1.5 56.96% (-2.33)
Over 2.5 19.2% (+1.40)
Under 2.5 80.8% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 6.92% (+0.88)
Under 3.5 93.08% (-0.88)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5 60.85% (-4.72)
Under 0.5 39.15% (+4.72)
Over 1.5 27.74% (-4.07)
Under 1.5 72.26% (+4.07)
Over 2.5 9.46% (-2.01)
Under 2.5 90.54% (+2.02)
Over 3.5 2.84% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 97.16% (+0.75)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 46.98%
Draw 25.17%
Coventry City 27.83%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.06% (+1.06)
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 8.37% (+1.11)
3-0 @ 4.54% (+0.71)
3-1 @ 4.43% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.09)
Other @ 6.91% (+0.91)
Total : 46.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.52)
0-0 @ 8.25% (+0.92)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 25.17%
Coventry City
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.51)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.88)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.85)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.57)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.21)
Other @ 2.83% (-0.72)
Total : 27.83%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 8, 2022 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Giulian Biancone 40' goal
  • goal Matt Godden 45'
  • goal Tyler Walker 54'
  • goal Tyler Walker 75'
Championship Gameweek 30
Apr 6, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Worrall 21' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 25' goal
  • Philip Zinckernagel 54' yellowcard
  • James Garner 61' goal
  • Jack Colback 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Bidwell 39'
  • yellowcard Dominic Hyam 77'
  • yellowcard Callum O'Hare 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2021 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ricoh Arena
  • Ben Sheaf 34' yellowcard
  • Kyle McFadzean 49' yellowcard
  • Ian Maatsen 55' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Hamer 61' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 81' goal
  • Kyle McFadzean 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lyle Taylor 36'
  • yellowcard Lyle Taylor 58'
Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 2, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ricoh Arena
  • Maxime Biamou 17' goal
  • Callum O'Hare 53' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Grabban 22'
  • goal Michael Rose 53' (OG)
  • yellowcard Anthony Knockaert 54'
  • yellowcard Filip Krovinovic 74'
  • yellowcard Jack Colback 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Gaetan Bong 90'+13'
Championship Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Samba Sow 18' yellowcard
  • Scott McKenna 30' goal
  • Lyle Taylor 90'+6' goal
  • goal Callum O'Hare 57'
  • yellowcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 85'
  • yellowcard Kyle McFadzean 90'+6'
Championship
Feb 18, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Garath McCleary 74' goal