Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 7, 2026 5.30pm
The City Ground

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 2 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Dan Ndoye

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Man City 0 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 52.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 23.83% and a draw has a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 2-1 (6.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 23.83%
Draw 23.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Manchester City 52.54% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.29% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.93% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.07% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 19.95%
Draw 45.1%
Manchester City 34.95%

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 37.53% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Manchester City 55.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.15% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 8 11.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 34.85% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 9 41.37% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 46.85% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 10.5 30.75% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 69.25% ▼ (-0.19)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 27.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 72.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 9.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 2.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 79.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 24.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.98% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 23.84%
Draw 23.63%
Manchester City 52.54%
Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 6.11%
1-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.63%
Manchester City
0-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-2 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.28%
0-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.87%
Total : 52.54%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Antoine Semenyo 31' goal
  • Rodri 62' goal
  • Jérémy Doku 77' yellowcard
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 77' yellowcard
  • Savinho 82' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 56'
  • yellowcard Callum Hudson-Odoi 63'
  • goal Elliot Anderson 76'
  • yellowcard Taiwo Awoniyi  79'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  90'
  • yellowcard Morato 90'
Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Elliot Anderson 43' yellowcard
  • Omari Hutchinson 54' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 36'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 48'
  • yellowcard Nico O'Reilly 59'
  • yellowcard Pep Guardiola 75'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 83'
FA Cup
Apr 27, 2025 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 65' yellowcard
  • Ramon Sosa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Rico Lewis 2'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 51'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 55'
  • yellowcard Nico O'Reilly 78'
  • yellowcard Stefan Ortega 87'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 27' yellowcard
  • Ryan Yates 76' yellowcard
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 83' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 32'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 56'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Bernardo Silva 8' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 31' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 52' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Doku 57' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 51'
  • yellowcard Murillo 54'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 76'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 32'
  • goal Erling Haaland 71'