Nov 4, 2026 8.00pm

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

W
W
L
L
W
W

Manchester City

All competitions

D
L
W
W
L
W

Champions League

W

Last game

Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm

Porto 0 - 2 Man City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Manchester City has a probability of 37.95% and a draw has a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.56%) and 2-0 (4.63%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.42%).

Result

RB Leipzig 40.2% ▲ (+1.07)

Draw 21.85% ▲ (+0.15)

Manchester City 37.95% ▼ (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score:

65.67% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.37% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 1.5 14.63% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 2.5 66.75% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 2.5 33.25% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 3.5 44.63%

Under 3.5 55.37%

Over 4.5 29.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 4.5 70.27% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 34.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Draw 37.65% ▼ (-0.06)

Manchester City 27.5% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 52.77% ▼ (-0.11)

No Goal 3.46% ▲ (+0.05)

Manchester City 43.77% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 64.67% ▲ (+0.08)

Equal 8 9.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 8 26.2% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 9 54.85% ▲ (+0.10)

Equal 9 9.83%

Under 9 35.33% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 10.5 45% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 10.5 55% ▼ (-0.08)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 47.47% ▲ (+1.00)

Under 1.5 52.53% ▼ (-1.00)

Over 2.5 24.29% ▲ (+0.68)

Under 2.5 75.71% ▼ (-0.69)

Over 3.5 10.77% ▲ (+0.36)

Under 3.5 89.23% ▼ (-0.36)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 72.68% ▼ (-0.71)

Under 0.5 27.32% ▲ (+0.72)

Over 1.5 45.09% ▼ (-0.97)

Under 1.5 54.91% ▲ (+0.97)

Over 2.5 22.69% ▼ (-0.83)

Under 2.5 77.31% ▲ (+0.83)

Over 3.5 9.69% ▼ (-0.47)

Under 3.5 90.31% ▲ (+0.47)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 40.19%

Draw 21.84%

Manchester City 37.95%

RB Leipzig

2-1 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.17)

1-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.09)

2-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.14)

3-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.15)

3-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.09)

3-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 10.28% ▲ (+0.35)

Total : 40.19%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.42%

2-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.05)

0-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.05)

3-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 0.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 21.84%

Manchester City

1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.14)

0-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.07)

0-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.13)

1-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.17)

2-3 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.05)

0-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.19)

Other @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.48)

Total : 37.95%

Head to Head

Nov 28, 2023 8.00pm

3

2

HT : 0 2

FT Etihad Stadium

Ruben Dias 21'
Erling Haaland 54'
Phil Foden 70'
Julian Alvarez 87'

Lois Openda 13'
Lois Openda 33'

Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT Red Bull Arena

Lois Openda 48'
Xaver Schlager 72'
David Raum 78'

Phil Foden 25'
Manuel Akanji 65'
Julian Alvarez 84'
Jeremy Doku 90'+2'

Mar 14, 2023 8.00pm

7

0

HT : 3 0

FT

Erling Braut Haaland 22'
Erling Braut Haaland 24'
Erling Braut Haaland 45'+2'
Ilkay Gundogan 49'
Erling Braut Haaland 53'
Erling Braut Haaland 57'
Kevin De Bruyne 90'+2'

Feb 22, 2023 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Josko Gvardiol 70'

Riyad Mahrez 27'

Dec 7, 2021 5.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Kevin Kampl 14'
Dominik Szoboszlai 24'
Andre Silva 71'
Tyler Adams 90'+1'

Kevin De Bruyne 30'
Riyad Mahrez 77'
John Stones 81'
Kyle Walker 83'

Sep 15, 2021 8.00pm

6

3

HT : 3 1

FT

Oleksandr Zinchenko 12'
Nathan Ake 16'
Nordi Mukiele 28'
Riyad Mahrez 45'+2'
Jack Grealish 56'
Joao Cancelo 75'
Gabriel Jesus 85'

Christopher Nkunku 42'
Lukas Klostermann 45'+1'
Tyler Adams 49'
Christopher Nkunku 51'
Angelino 58'
Christopher Nkunku 73'
Angelino 79'

Form Data

RWE 1 - 2 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig 4 - 0 Elversberg

Real Madrid 4 - 1 RB Leipzig

Bayern 6 - 1 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV

RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Frankfurt

Man City 2 - 2 Brighton

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man City

Man City 5 - 1 AEK Athens

Man City 3 - 2 Ipswich

Man City 2 - 4 PSG

Liverpool 0 - 3 Man City