Club Friendlies 3
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William Gomes
5'
-
Pepê
41'
-
79'
-
Luka John Lynch
12'
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Ross Barkley
29'
Porto vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result
Porto
47.15%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
26.32%
▲
(+0.02)
Aston Villa
26.54%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
53.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
26.58%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
48.58%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
51.42%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
27.36%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
72.64%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
15.46%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
84.54%
▼
(-0.03)
First Half Winner
Porto
34.48%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
42.25%
▲
(+0.10)
Aston Villa
23.27%
▲
(+0.06)
Team To Score First
Porto
54.36%
▲
(+0.05)
No Goal
8.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Aston Villa
37.61%
▼
(-0.03)
Corners
Over 8
56.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 8
11.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
32.12%
Over 9
44.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Equal 9
11.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
43.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 10.5
34.2%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 10.5
65.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 1.5
43.44%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
56.56%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
19.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
80.75%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
7.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
92.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
61.95%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
38.05%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
27.37%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
72.63%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
9.61%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
90.39%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
2.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
97.1%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Porto
47.14%
Draw
26.32%
Aston Villa
26.52%
Porto
1-0
@
10.95%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.14%
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.14%
Draw
1-1
@
12.84%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.32%
0-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.32%
Aston Villa
0-1
@
7.58%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.52%
1-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.52%