Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.