Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 24, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
2 - 2
Stal Mielec

Pekhart (64'), Wszolek (79')
Jedrzejczyk (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerbowski (35'), Wolsztynski (57' pen.), Matras (77')
Wolsztynski (71'), Matras (87'), (90+5'), Jalocha (90+4')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 3-1 Legia
Sunday, May 18 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-2 Radomiak Radom
Friday, May 16 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawStal Mielec
55.06% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)21.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.18% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)38.18% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.54% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)60.46% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)13.86% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)41.25% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)65.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 55.06%
    Stal Mielec 23.18%
    Draw 21.76%
Legia WarsawDrawStal Mielec
2-1 @ 9.76%
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 23.18%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Stal Mielec
2-2
Legia
Wlazlo (28' pen.), Wolsztynski (90+1')
Morishita (12'), Augustyniak (63' pen.)
Urbanski (2'), Gual (57')
Apr 28, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 30
Stal Mielec
1-3
Legia
Shkurin (39')
Getinger (3'), Kieres (4'), Esselink (20')
Pesqueira (21' pen.), Kapustka (76'), Rosolek (90+4' pen.)
Pesqueira (68'), Kapustka (84')
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Legia
1-3
Stal Mielec
Kramer (89')
Kapuadi (13'), Slisz (24'), Jedrzejczyk (58'), Kramer (86')
Shkurin (38'), Wolkowicz (50'), Hinokio (82')
Wolkowicz (10'), Shkurin (90')