Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.