World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Narodowy

Poland
2 - 0
Malta

Swiderski (27', 51')
Frankowski (45+4'), Slisz (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muscat (18'), Tuma (69'), Chouaref (74')
Chouaref (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Poland and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Malta

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Malta 0-1 Finland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 80.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Malta had a probability of 6.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.82%) and 1-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.

Result
Poland	Draw	Malta
80.17% ( -0.4)	13.37% ( 0.2)	6.46% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 42.41% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.53% (

-0.11)

37.46% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.31% (

-0.11)

59.68% (

0.11)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.67% (

-0.11)

7.33% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.52% (

-0.28)

26.47% (

0.28)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.76% (

0.53)

54.23% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.58% (

0.32)

87.42% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Poland 80.16%

Malta 6.46%

Draw 13.37%

Poland	Draw	Malta
2-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 80.16%	1-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.5% Total : 13.37%	0-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 6.46%