Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.41% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.