Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.