Europa League
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 12' goal
  • Igor Jesus 16' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 17' yellowcard
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 46' yellowcard
  • Nikola Milenković 65' yellowcard
  • Morato 72' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Dilane Bakwa 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francisco Moura 46'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 46'
  • yellowcard Victor Froholdt 46'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 46'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 66'

Nottingham Forest vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Nottingham Forest 26.01%
Draw 24.68%
Porto 49.27% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.82% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.18% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.66% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.06% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.94% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.62% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.38% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 23.09%
Draw 41.26%
Porto 35.65%

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 38.57% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.9% (-0.01)
Porto 54.53%

Corners

Over 8 51.78%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 36.45%
Over 9 40.34%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 48.22%
Over 10.5 30.11%
Under 10.5 69.89%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 27.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.04% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.62% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.38% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.24% (-0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 77.61%
Under 0.5 22.39%
Over 1.5 46.48% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.52% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.57% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.14%
Under 3.5 91.86%

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 26.02%
Draw 24.68%
Porto 49.27%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.61% (+0.01)
Total : 26.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.68%
Porto
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 8.57% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.92%
0-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 2.92%
Other @ 7.99%
Total : 49.27%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • William Gomes 11' goal
  • Alberto Costa 19' yellowcard
  • Victor Froholdt 59' yellowcard
  • Deniz Gül 59' yellowcard
  • Pepê 59' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • goal Martim Fernandes 13' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenković 46'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 46'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson  60'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 61'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangaré 74'
Europa League
Oct 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT

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