Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Accra Sports Stadium
  • Daniel Sosah 38' goal
  • Oumar Sako 45' goal
  • yellowcard Lehlohonolo Fothoane 40'
  • yellowcard Rethabile Mokokoane 49'
  • yellowcard T. Makhele 58'
  • goal Sera Motebang 85'

Niger vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

Lesotho

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Niger 49.39% ▼ (-4.77)
Draw 25.21% ▲ (+1.11)
Lesotho 25.4% ▲ (+3.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.37% ▲ (+1.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 51.85% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 48.15% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 30.69% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 3.5 69.31% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 4.5 19.16% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 4.5 80.84% ▼ (-0.71)

First Half Winner

Niger 39.08%
Draw 43.96%
Lesotho 16.96%

Team To Score First

Niger 63.86% ▼ (-0.24)
No Goal 8.89% ▲ (+0.34)
Lesotho 27.25% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 23.03%
Equal 8 8.66%
Under 8 68.3%
Over 9 16.51%
Equal 9 6.52%
Under 9 76.97%
Over 10.5 11.87%
Under 10.5 88.13%

Niger Goals

Over 1.5 46.92% ▼ (-3.16)
Under 1.5 53.08% ▲ (+3.16)
Over 2.5 24.35% ▼ (-1.97)
Under 2.5 75.65% ▲ (+1.97)
Over 3.5 10.55% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 3.5 89.45% ▲ (+0.75)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 57.66% ▲ (+3.69)
Under 0.5 42.34% ▼ (-3.69)
Over 1.5 26.45% ▲ (+3.61)
Under 1.5 73.55% ▼ (-3.61)
Over 2.5 10.18% ▲ (+2.07)
Under 2.5 89.82% ▼ (-2.07)
Over 3.5 3.32% ▲ (+0.89)
Under 3.5 96.68% ▼ (-0.89)

Score analysis

Niger 49.39%
Draw 25.21%
Lesotho 25.4%
Niger
1-0 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.72)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.42)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-1.39)
3-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-1.11)
3-1 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.46)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.83)
Total : 49.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.20)
0-0 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 25.21%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.75)
1-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.58)
0-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.56)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.39)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.82)
Total : 25.4%