Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kenya win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Lesotho has a probability of 26.59% and a draw has a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Lesotho win is 1-0 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).