International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
  • Sera Motebang 12' yellowcard
  • Tsepo Toloane 49' yellowcard
  • T. Makhele 70' goal
  • Mohlomi Makhetha 72' yellowcard
  • goal Frank Onyango Odhiambo 12'
  • yellowcard Richard Odada 22'
  • yellowcard Stanley Wilson 67'

Lesotho vs Kenya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

All competitions

Kenya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 3, 2026 1.30pm
Kyrgyzstan 0 - 0 Kenya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-0 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Lesotho 26.62% (+0.04)
Draw 26.52%
Kenya 46.82% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.21%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.36%
Under 1.5 29.64%
Over 2.5 45.77% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.23% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.57%
Under 3.5 74.43%
Over 4.5 14.09% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.91% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Lesotho 18.97%
Draw 48.74%
Kenya 32.3%

Team To Score First

Lesotho 34.18%
No Goal 8.94%
Kenya 56.88%

Corners

Over 8 9.82%
Equal 8 3.97%
Under 8 86.21%
Over 9 7.3%
Equal 9 2.53%
Under 9 90.18%
Over 10.5 5.64%
Under 10.5 94.36%

Lesotho Goals

Over 1.5 26.32% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.68% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.56%
Under 2.5 91.44%
Over 3.5 2.37%
Under 3.5 97.63%

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5 74.63% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.37% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.68% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.32% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 18.57% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.43% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.63% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.37% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lesotho 26.62%
Draw 26.52%
Kenya 46.83%
Lesotho
1-0 @ 8.37% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.52%
Kenya
0-1 @ 12.3% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65%
Other @ 6.58% (-0.01)
Total : 46.83%