Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.67% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%) , while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.