Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 29, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Free State Toyota Stadium
  • Lebohang Lesako 49' goal
  • Sera Motebang 82' goal
  • goal 45'+2'

Lesotho vs Seychelles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 2.00pm
Seychelles 0 - 0 Lesotho

Seychelles

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 2.00pm
Seychelles 0 - 0 Lesotho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.67% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%) , while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Lesotho 64.83% (+2.11)
Draw 17.67% (+0.07)
Seychelles 17.51% (-2.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.25% (-1.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.32% (-0.74)
Under 1.5 18.68% (+0.74)
Over 2.5 61.8% (-1.18)
Under 2.5 38.2% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 41.04% (-1.33)
Under 3.5 58.96% (+1.33)
Over 4.5 29.51% (-1.08)
Under 4.5 70.49% (+1.08)

First Half Winner

Lesotho 43.83%
Draw 38.2%
Seychelles 17.97%

Team To Score First

Lesotho 64.22% (-0.16)
No Goal 4.64% (+0.22)
Seychelles 31.14% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 30.16% (-0.13)
Equal 8 10.33% (-0.03)
Under 8 59.51% (+0.15)
Over 9 21.76% (-0.09)
Equal 9 8.4% (-0.03)
Under 9 69.84% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 15.39% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 84.61% (+0.07)

Lesotho Goals

Over 1.5 61.97% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 38.03% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 38.57% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 61.43% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 21.65% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 78.35% (-0.21)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5 47.53% (-1.86)
Under 0.5 52.47% (+1.86)
Over 1.5 21.05% (-2.51)
Under 1.5 78.95% (+2.52)
Over 2.5 7.88% (-1.82)
Under 2.5 92.12% (+1.83)
Over 3.5 2.61% (-0.92)
Under 3.5 97.39% (+0.93)

Score analysis

Lesotho 64.82%
Draw 17.67%
Seychelles 17.5%
Lesotho
1-0 @ 9.69% (+0.50)
2-0 @ 9.3% (+0.55)
2-1 @ 8.44% (+0.29)
3-0 @ 7.32% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 5.86% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.05)
Other @ 21.51% (+0.25)
Total : 64.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.84% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 4.64% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.04)
Total : 17.67%
Seychelles
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.34)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.24)
Other @ 2.47% (-0.88)
Total : 17.5%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 26, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Free State Toyota Stadium
COSAFA Cup
Jun 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Jane Thaba-Ntso 19' goal
  • Paseka Maile 58' yellowcard
  • Thabo Makhele 62' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Hoareau 69'