Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Free State Toyota Stadium

Lesotho vs Seychelles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 2.00pm
Seychelles 0 - 0 Lesotho

Seychelles

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 2.00pm
Seychelles 0 - 0 Lesotho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lesotho win with a probability of 62.73%. A win for Seychelles has a probability of 19.68% and a draw has a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest Seychelles win is 0-1 (4.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.69%).

Result

Lesotho 62.73% (-0.04)
Draw 17.61% (+0.04)
Seychelles 19.68% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.32% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.05% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 17.95% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 62.97% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 37.03% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 42.37% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 57.63% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 30.59% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 69.41% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Lesotho 43.83%
Draw 38.2%
Seychelles 17.97%

Team To Score First

Lesotho 64.37% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.42% (+0.04)
Seychelles 31.21% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 30.28%
Equal 8 10.36%
Under 8 59.36%
Over 9 21.85%
Equal 9 8.43%
Under 9 69.72%
Over 10.5 15.45%
Under 10.5 84.55%

Lesotho Goals

Over 1.5 60.93% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 39.07% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 37.97% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 62.03% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 21.45% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 78.55% (+0.08)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5 49.39% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 50.61% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 23.56% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 76.44% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 9.7% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 90.3% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 3.53% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.47% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Lesotho 62.74%
Draw 17.61%
Seychelles 19.67%
Lesotho
1-0 @ 9.2% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.76% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 21.27% (-0.08)
Total : 62.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.69% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.42% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 17.61%
Seychelles
0-1 @ 4.35% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.35% (-0.07)
Total : 19.67%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 26, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Free State Toyota Stadium
COSAFA Cup
Jun 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Jane Thaba-Ntso 19' goal
  • Paseka Maile 58' yellowcard
  • Thabo Makhele 62' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Hoareau 69'