Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 25, 2026 2.00pm

Seychelles vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Seychelles

All competitions

Lesotho

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lesotho win with a probability of 59.27%. A win for Seychelles has a probability of 23.58% and a draw has a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win is 0-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.56%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Seychelles win is 2-1 (4.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.6%).

Result

Seychelles 23.58% (+0.63)
Draw 17.14% (+0.43)
Lesotho 59.27% (-1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45% (+0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.32% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 16.68% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 64.6% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 35.4% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 44.04% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 55.96% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 32.19% (-0.75)
Under 4.5 67.81% (+0.75)

First Half Winner

Seychelles 29.68% (+0.72)
Draw 37.14% (-0.36)
Lesotho 33.18% (-0.37)

Team To Score First

Seychelles 44.83% (+0.90)
No Goal 4.33% (+0.08)
Lesotho 50.84% (-0.96)

Corners

Over 8 18.6% (-1.25)
Equal 8 7.36% (-0.38)
Under 8 74.05% (+1.65)
Over 9 13.36% (-0.89)
Equal 9 5.24% (-0.36)
Under 9 81.4% (+1.25)
Over 10.5 9.79% (-0.60)
Under 10.5 90.21% (+0.59)

Seychelles Goals

Over 1.5 26.97% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 73.03% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 11.87% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 88.13% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 4.47% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 95.53% (-0.19)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 81.39% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 18.61% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 58.82% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 41.18% (+0.86)
Over 2.5 37.71% (-1.18)
Under 2.5 62.29% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 21.89% (-1.13)
Under 3.5 78.11% (+1.13)

Score analysis

Seychelles 23.59%
Draw 17.14%
Lesotho 59.27%
Seychelles
2-1 @ 4.87% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 4.79% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 3.27% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.54% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.87% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.35% (+0.18)
Total : 23.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.6% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 4.33% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 17.14%
Lesotho
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.56% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.36% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 6.45% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 5.32% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.96% (+0.11)
Other @ 21.77% (-1.13)
Total : 59.27%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jun 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Jane Thaba-Ntso 19' goal
  • Paseka Maile 58' yellowcard
  • Thabo Makhele 62' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Hoareau 69'