Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 58.96%. A win for Seychelles had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-2 with a probability of 7.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Seychelles win was 2-1 (4.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.