Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 26, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Free State Toyota Stadium

Seychelles vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Seychelles

All competitions

Lesotho

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 58.96%. A win for Seychelles had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-2 with a probability of 7.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Seychelles win was 2-1 (4.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Seychelles 23.76%
Draw 17.26% (-0.03)
Lesotho 58.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.47%
Under 1.5 16.53%
Over 2.5 64.98% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 35.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 44.52% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 55.48% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 32.48% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 67.52% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Seychelles 29.91%
Draw 37.15%
Lesotho 32.94%

Team To Score First

Seychelles 45.63% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.28% (-0.02)
Lesotho 50.09% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 19.07%
Equal 8 7.46%
Under 8 73.48%
Over 9 13.73% (+0.01)
Equal 9 5.34%
Under 9 80.93%
Over 10.5 10.07%
Under 10.5 89.93%

Seychelles Goals

Over 1.5 27.41% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.59% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.05%
Under 2.5 87.95%
Over 3.5 4.56%
Under 3.5 95.44%

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 81.34% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.66% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 58.83% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 41.17% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 37.81% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 62.19% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 21.93% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 78.07% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Seychelles 23.75%
Draw 17.26%
Lesotho 58.96%
Seychelles
2-1 @ 4.92%
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 23.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.6% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.26%
Lesotho
0-2 @ 7.62% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.38%
2-3 @ 3.07%
Other @ 21.79% (+0.06)
Total : 58.96%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jun 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Jane Thaba-Ntso 19' goal
  • Paseka Maile 58' yellowcard
  • Thabo Makhele 62' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Hoareau 69'